Archive for ‘Political commentary’

March 23, 2019

Mueller Report Next Steps

by Steve Dana

Now that the Mueller report has been submitted, what is the next step?  I guess it depends upon what Mueller was actually investigating.

I think we have reasonable agreement that foreign governments or their surrogates have used technology to influence American elections to some degree for several years.  The Mueller investigation was predicated on there being a relationship between Donald Trump and Russian efforts to interfere.

Keep in mind that our government has known about Russian efforts and those of several other countries to interfere in one way or another for years.  President Obama knew about them and yet he still minimized the actual impact on any election we could point to. He never instructed his Attorney General to investigate Russian meddling; probably because he knew Hillary Clinton was actually in bed with the Russians. That should be incorporated into the discussion.  Foreign interference in our elections was never identified as a significant threat to our country before Donald Trump came on the scene.

What we learned in the course of the nearly two-year investigation was that people associated with Donald Trump misled investigators.  Some like Mike Flynn and Paul Manafort might spend years in prison for their lack of candor.  The important conclusion we should arrive at is Trump and his team didn’t interact with Russia inappropriately.

My personal view is that Mike Flynn was targeted because he was a strong advocate for American security evidenced by his dismissal from the Obama Administration for his criticism of the administration’s incompetence. Flynn was a target of the Obama holdovers in the DOJ and FBI from the time he signed on with Trump.  At that time, there was discussion about how Flynn knew where the bodies were buried in the Obama Administration because of his very high position.  His relationship with Trump represented a threat to exposure of evidence that Obama Administration officials were involved in criminal activities, even up to treason.  It was absolutely a priority to discredit Mike Flynn and hopefully silence him.  Surprise, Surprise, Mike Flynn was snuffed.

The good news now is that we might get to see the evidence they tried mightily to keep in the dark.  After two years of this torture there are indications that the new Attorney General might be shifting the attention of the DOJ over to investigating the real crimes committed going back as far as 2014.

We learned that in the pursuit of Paul Manafort that timeliness of the crime is not important.  He is going to jail for crimes he committed years before Trump ever heard of him.  Members of Congress and TV pundits were clear that allegations of criminal acts warrant investigation and if there is actual evidence, prosecution should follow.  Prosecutors squeezed Manafort mightily and they came up with old crimes that would ruin his life moving forward, but they didn’t get a thing implicating Trump in anything dirty.

The lesson is that allegations of crimes by government officials regardless of their timeline or intent are worthy of investigation and if there is evidence of crimes then prosecution is required.  Paul Manafort will most likely spend the remainder of his life in prison for minor crimes so I don’t think it’s improper to demand that every one of the folks at the Department of Justice and FBI who conspired to take down a President (regardless of their suspicions about Trump) are pursued and prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law.

We cannot sweep this under a rug and hope it goes away.  Crimes against our country demand investigation.  Covering up crimes against our country demand investigation.  Conspiring to undermine an election demand investigation.  Destroying evidence of Espionage and National Security crimes demand investigation.  Obstructing justice by anyone in the government or by anyone in a political campaign to prevent exposure of criminal acts by others demands investigation.

The model for the Department of Justice moving forward needs to reflect the aggression and zeal of the Trump-Russia Special Counsel investigation.  We are entitled to justice but more importantly, we need justice to restore the integrity of our institutions.

Attorney General Barr needs to get on with the process.  The time clock is running.  A Presidential election could squelch an ongoing investigation in 2020.  Start with the evidence we all are aware of and work your way up.  Shake the tree.  If you can squeeze lower level rats to sing, we can work our way to the divas at the top of the pyramid.  Let the evidence lead us to the criminals.

March 9, 2019

Climate Change Guilt Trip

by Steve Dana

It’s hard to comment about things related to climate change these days because some people de-compensate at the mention.  Having said that, I am willing to spin a few minds into a tizzy.

Let me say from the beginning that I am not a climatologist or a meteorologist, but I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express the other night.

Here’s what I think I know.  The weather is changing all the time.  Climate is a reflection of weather changes over time.  Climate is changing all the time.

We are growing grapes in the state of Washington where we couldn’t fifty years ago.  Climate changes in California are affecting the crops they can grow today that were staples fifty years ago.  Over that time, farmers have adapted their practices to take into consideration the changes.

For me and most other people, I don’t understand what all the fuss is about.  Al Gore is like Chicken Little warning us that the sky will fall.  Our own Jay Inslee characterized his Presidential campaign as a “War against Climate Change”.  As far as I can tell, the people he intends to wage war against are you and me.

From a scientific perspective the climatologists study the evolving climate, but they don’t ever suggest we can manage it.  The current craze is to reduce Green House gases and the movement is to identify those man-made sources of Green House gases and slash them.

The thing I don’t hear from reputable scientists is that efforts in the US will have a measurable impact on the problem.

The countries producing the most pollution contributing to the problem have no intention to slash production of Green House gases if the cost of doing so trashes their economy.  China and India are by far the largest populations on the planet and they produce the most pollution.  Unless we can twist their arm to get them to play ball, we accomplish nothing by trashing our own economy.

I’m not suggesting that we don’t undertake an effort to reduce environmental impacts that contribute to climate change, but we must keep in mind that everything comes with a cost.  For the Al Gores and the Jay Inslees of the world, they don’t mind that you bear the burden of a Climate Change War even knowing up front there will be no victory.

The thing that pushes their zealotry is guilt for America’s past abuses.  American excesses over the past sixty years coming from a very successful economy create an appearance to the rest of the world that Americans are selfish squanderers of the world’s resources.  Creating a Climate Change movement focusing on American behavior only, contributes nothing to measurable change in the climate but a catastrophic impact to the American economy.

When Obama talked about fundamental change to America, this is the tool that will make it happen.  Inslee’s war will be a war of ideas to convince us that we are bad people who should be ashamed of our success and as a result we should beat our selves to death for penance.

If the environment on the planet changes, our best strategy is to be adaptive.  If we have huge population centers located on low elevation seacoast areas subject to flooding if the oceans rise, then maybe we should be talking about moving to higher ground. Just look at New Orleans if you think you can hold back the sea.  That city is sinking and the government is spending a fortune to prevent the relentless flood.  Move away from the low land, quit building homes in flood prone areas, quit putting people’s lives in danger by allowing residences in “future flood” designated areas.

We’ve learned that mankind is fairly insignificant to mother nature.  It is only in our feeble minds that we think we can alter the weather.

I know I always advise my clients to buy property at least fifty feet above sea level.  Who knows, at some time that property might be on the beach.

Adopting modest changes to our behavior at modest prices is probably a good thing, but taxes to change your behavior has nothing to do with the environment and everything to do with power over you.  Think about that.

February 24, 2019

North Korea vs Donald Trump Round Two!

by Steve Dana

As the President and his team head over to Viet Nam for the second Summit with the North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, it’s important to reflect on where we’ve come from in what time period so moving forward we can see if Trump is the deal maker he suggests he is.

When Trump was elected, we had no dialog with Kim Jong Un.  He was testing rockets and bombs. Americans were wringing their hands.  The world was very uptight.  Things were Not Good.

Trump came along and as is his way, he vowed to take on the challenge of taming the hermit kingdom.  I don’t know whether anyone took Trump seriously since no president before him had ever made ANY PROGRESS with the Kims.  Actually, nobody took Trump serious.  Since the history of the Kim family dynasty was to take and never give, it would take a masterful deal maker to change history.

So, we are just two years into Trump’s presidency and we are heading out for the second summit with the DPRK.  That’s a good thing in my mind.

It’s hard to say if we’ve made substantive progress in de-nuclearizing the Korean peninsula but we appear to be talking and not backing off on the sanctions.  We have additional sanctions to apply if punitive action is warranted.

I am amused by the critics of the president who have a lot to say about how Trump should manage the negotiations and how he should apply more pressure or back off the pressure and how he should extract hard promises from Kim or how quickly the deed should be done before we declare the effort a failure.

What I would recommend to the smart asses in the congress and the press is to shut the hell up and let Trump negotiate with Kim.  We were going nowhere before Trump arrived and we appear to be moving slowly forward so let the process proceed.  If at the end of Trump’s first term we are still talking but don’t have a deal, we are making progress.

Pundits inside the government and out, have lots of opinions about how Trump should conduct the talks and for them the narrow definition of what success looks like.  I’m willing to let Trump and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo take as much time as they need to soften up the North Koreans and make their case for change in the DPRK.  The process is not a sprint.  If it takes five more years but ends with Kim giving up his nukes, I would call that success.

For many of those pundits who have offered opinions for years, Trump again is a threat because if he succeeds at any level, it will demonstrate that the pundits didn’t know their butts from a hole in the ground.  That is the crux of the problem with Trump in this case and so many others.

We’ve been led to believe that problem after problem are un-repairable and Trump has systematically taken them on while applying different approaches to fixes and proved the champions of the status quo to be absolutely full of BS.

Humiliating the pundits is very dangerous for Trump because all the pundits offer is some level of expertise on a subject and when Trump demonstrates their ignorance, it creates even more hate.  Threats against their livelihoods can cause desperate measures.

North Korea will not just roll over because Trump offers to talk.  North Korea will need to see a clear benefit from the negotiations before they give up anything.  Trump is using a long standing strategy in working with Asian cultures that place a high value on relationships.  Trump is working on the relationships and that is a very good thing.

Hopefully, Kim will realize for himself the benefits of change for his country.  Let’s hope for the sake of the North Korean people that he sees the light sooner rather than later.

February 18, 2019

Arguments FOR Diversity and The Electoral College

by Steve Dana

As a lifelong resident of Washington state, I can tell you that this is God’s country.  Where else in the country can you find the diversity of almost everything you find in the northwest corner of the lower 48.  The climate in our state varies from rain forest on the peninsula to desert on the east side.  The Pacific Ocean on the coast and the Cascade Mountains a hundred miles inland.  High tech and manufacturing on the west side and farming and ranching on the east side.  Big cities with high population and traffic congestion on the west side and wide-open range with small town USA stretching from north to south to the east.  The contrasts that exist in our state can be breathtaking.  Breathtaking in one way in particular; the concentration of power not just on the west side, in the greater Seattle/King County area.

As the high tech and manufacturing companies have boomed in King County, the population has exploded accordingly.  From an economic standpoint the region is thriving but along with the boon come the trickle-down impacts that aren’t always kind to all socio-economic segments of the population.  Property values and rents have sky-rocketed as the demand outpaced the addition of new housing options.  For the new tech workers, it established a new norm.  For the lower income base, it created a crisis in housing.  Poorer people were either forced to move further out to the suburbs or they became homeless, living in tents and cardboard boxes throughout the urban landscape.

If you look at the state from the legislative standpoint the level of diversity is evident.  Corresponding to the growth of high tech in the Puget Sound region, the way voters have selected their representatives has changed dramatically.  Almost all of the central Puget Sound area now sends Democrats to the legislature where there previously was a balance.  The net result is that the makeup of the legislature is dominated by Democrats and by extension, they control the agenda and the focus of state resources.

Parts of the state feel helpless as King County Democrats determine their fate.  They have representatives in the legislature, but their influence is marginalized by their chronic minority status.  As much as they appeal for a voice and a fair share, they are reminded that there are consequences of elections.

From a political point of view, the state of Washington is less diverse than we have ever been for many decades.  For the residents of the suburban counties and rural counties there is little chance to have a meaningful voice because the population and concentration of Democrats in the urban counties is so dominant.  One county has so many Democrat votes it controls the whole state.  That’s the reality in Washington state today.

This scenario is played out is other states as well.  As the population centers have grown, their political power has increased proportionally to the point where the states of Oregon and California to our south are also dominated by Democrats in limited geographic concentrations.  The balance of power has sharply shifted to the left because of the concentration of Democrat voters in the urban areas.

The conclusion I came to is that concentrating all the power in one location isn’t healthy for our whole state as it isn’t for our neighbors either.

Now, when you think about why our founding fathers adopted the Electoral College to elect our president you will see that in order to equalize the states with much higher populations with the smaller states with fewer residents the big states were only granted so many electors based upon their representation in Congress.  The founders knew that New York could determine the fate of the country because of their population disparity with their smaller neighbors if only the popular vote was used.  The founders knew that in order that every state could participate in the presidential election process, they needed to shift influence to smaller states by guaranteeing that their votes counted.

The founders recognized that the nation needed the benefits of both the rural and urban economies but if the power was only allocated by population, the control would accrue in the urban.

If the presidential election process abandons the Electoral College, the voters in five or six cities will have enough votes to call all of the shots and our votes will matter as much as those in Okanogan County in our state legislature.