As the President and his team head over to Viet Nam for the second Summit with the North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, it’s important to reflect on where we’ve come from in what time period so moving forward we can see if Trump is the deal maker he suggests he is.
When Trump was elected, we had no dialog with Kim Jong Un. He was testing rockets and bombs. Americans were wringing their hands. The world was very uptight. Things were Not Good.
Trump came along and as is his way, he vowed to take on the challenge of taming the hermit kingdom. I don’t know whether anyone took Trump seriously since no president before him had ever made ANY PROGRESS with the Kims. Actually, nobody took Trump serious. Since the history of the Kim family dynasty was to take and never give, it would take a masterful deal maker to change history.
So, we are just two years into Trump’s presidency and we are heading out for the second summit with the DPRK. That’s a good thing in my mind.
It’s hard to say if we’ve made substantive progress in de-nuclearizing the Korean peninsula but we appear to be talking and not backing off on the sanctions. We have additional sanctions to apply if punitive action is warranted.
I am amused by the critics of the president who have a lot to say about how Trump should manage the negotiations and how he should apply more pressure or back off the pressure and how he should extract hard promises from Kim or how quickly the deed should be done before we declare the effort a failure.
What I would recommend to the smart asses in the congress and the press is to shut the hell up and let Trump negotiate with Kim. We were going nowhere before Trump arrived and we appear to be moving slowly forward so let the process proceed. If at the end of Trump’s first term we are still talking but don’t have a deal, we are making progress.
Pundits inside the government and out, have lots of opinions about how Trump should conduct the talks and for them the narrow definition of what success looks like. I’m willing to let Trump and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo take as much time as they need to soften up the North Koreans and make their case for change in the DPRK. The process is not a sprint. If it takes five more years but ends with Kim giving up his nukes, I would call that success.
For many of those pundits who have offered opinions for years, Trump again is a threat because if he succeeds at any level, it will demonstrate that the pundits didn’t know their butts from a hole in the ground. That is the crux of the problem with Trump in this case and so many others.
We’ve been led to believe that problem after problem are un-repairable and Trump has systematically taken them on while applying different approaches to fixes and proved the champions of the status quo to be absolutely full of BS.
Humiliating the pundits is very dangerous for Trump because all the pundits offer is some level of expertise on a subject and when Trump demonstrates their ignorance, it creates even more hate. Threats against their livelihoods can cause desperate measures.
North Korea will not just roll over because Trump offers to talk. North Korea will need to see a clear benefit from the negotiations before they give up anything. Trump is using a long standing strategy in working with Asian cultures that place a high value on relationships. Trump is working on the relationships and that is a very good thing.
Hopefully, Kim will realize for himself the benefits of change for his country. Let’s hope for the sake of the North Korean people that he sees the light sooner rather than later.
Climate Change Guilt Trip
by Steve DanaIt’s hard to comment about things related to climate change these days because some people de-compensate at the mention. Having said that, I am willing to spin a few minds into a tizzy.
Let me say from the beginning that I am not a climatologist or a meteorologist, but I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express the other night.
Here’s what I think I know. The weather is changing all the time. Climate is a reflection of weather changes over time. Climate is changing all the time.
We are growing grapes in the state of Washington where we couldn’t fifty years ago. Climate changes in California are affecting the crops they can grow today that were staples fifty years ago. Over that time, farmers have adapted their practices to take into consideration the changes.
For me and most other people, I don’t understand what all the fuss is about. Al Gore is like Chicken Little warning us that the sky will fall. Our own Jay Inslee characterized his Presidential campaign as a “War against Climate Change”. As far as I can tell, the people he intends to wage war against are you and me.
From a scientific perspective the climatologists study the evolving climate, but they don’t ever suggest we can manage it. The current craze is to reduce Green House gases and the movement is to identify those man-made sources of Green House gases and slash them.
The thing I don’t hear from reputable scientists is that efforts in the US will have a measurable impact on the problem.
The countries producing the most pollution contributing to the problem have no intention to slash production of Green House gases if the cost of doing so trashes their economy. China and India are by far the largest populations on the planet and they produce the most pollution. Unless we can twist their arm to get them to play ball, we accomplish nothing by trashing our own economy.
I’m not suggesting that we don’t undertake an effort to reduce environmental impacts that contribute to climate change, but we must keep in mind that everything comes with a cost. For the Al Gores and the Jay Inslees of the world, they don’t mind that you bear the burden of a Climate Change War even knowing up front there will be no victory.
The thing that pushes their zealotry is guilt for America’s past abuses. American excesses over the past sixty years coming from a very successful economy create an appearance to the rest of the world that Americans are selfish squanderers of the world’s resources. Creating a Climate Change movement focusing on American behavior only, contributes nothing to measurable change in the climate but a catastrophic impact to the American economy.
When Obama talked about fundamental change to America, this is the tool that will make it happen. Inslee’s war will be a war of ideas to convince us that we are bad people who should be ashamed of our success and as a result we should beat our selves to death for penance.
If the environment on the planet changes, our best strategy is to be adaptive. If we have huge population centers located on low elevation seacoast areas subject to flooding if the oceans rise, then maybe we should be talking about moving to higher ground. Just look at New Orleans if you think you can hold back the sea. That city is sinking and the government is spending a fortune to prevent the relentless flood. Move away from the low land, quit building homes in flood prone areas, quit putting people’s lives in danger by allowing residences in “future flood” designated areas.
We’ve learned that mankind is fairly insignificant to mother nature. It is only in our feeble minds that we think we can alter the weather.
I know I always advise my clients to buy property at least fifty feet above sea level. Who knows, at some time that property might be on the beach.
Adopting modest changes to our behavior at modest prices is probably a good thing, but taxes to change your behavior has nothing to do with the environment and everything to do with power over you. Think about that.
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