Posts tagged ‘International Politics’

March 28, 2011

“Gadaffi Must Go!” says Barack Obama

by Steve Dana

I know it is not politically correct to advocate assassination of foreign heads of state, but wouldn’t that solve our problem in Libya?  Rather than sending in our army to fight his army, why don’t we just send in a black ops team to pick off Gadaffi and his sons?  They wouldn’t even have to be American assets.  There are probably other countries capable of carrying out this mission.  We might also get the wordsmiths working on the language that describes the action in more socially acceptable language.

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February 23, 2011

Freedom or Security?

by Steve Dana

So much in the news that warrants comment.

For those of us who are paying attention, we are witnessing a world changing series of events in North Africa and the Middle East.  Long standing governments are being destabilized and their very existence threatened by citizens from within.  Governments that haven’t necessarily been of a style we might prefer, but in control of their countries never-the-less.

The concepts of diplomacy and statesmanship have led our country into partnerships with other countries that are in no way similar to our own, but where we do share an interest beneficial to both parties.  If we limited our treaty commitments to only countries sharing our personal views, we would have few partners so it has been and will be in the future necessary for us negotiate with kings and dictators who rule countries that do not grant their citizens even basic freedoms we cherish.

So now when those citizens challenge their unelected leaders to taste the freedom we take for granted, what should our government’s role be in the process?

Should we take sides and actively support one side or the other or should we silently watch and let the chips fall where they may and resume diplomatic relations with whoever is standing after the smoke clears?  This is a dilemma we are struggling with in steadily increasing numbers.

Having said that, how would we feel if foreign governments that embrace a system different from our own decided to destabilize our own country and promote change to America consistent with their system?

I am no student of the History of Western Civilization, but I can remember times when people with strong feelings about their own beliefs felt compelled to “share” their beliefs with others in spite of the fact that those others had beliefs of their own already.  The “sharing” of religious beliefs has been the source of much bloodshed for thousands of years.  So should we be forcing our beliefs on others?

This is an important issue because it causes us to question our motives in dealing with every foreign country in the world.

The United States of America was founded by citizens who left their home lands to find a place where they could worship as they chose; citizens who demonstrated an independence that could not tolerate undue “taxation without representation.”

For more than two hundred years, Americans have embodied the freedom we gained from our own revolution.

In spite of the fact that our country represented the ideal form of government for people who cherished their individual freedoms, our form of government has not been successfully adopted by any other country in the world.  The delicate balance of interests required for our government to survive this long has been guaranteed by our Constitution and our Bill of Rights.

But that took hard work and a firm belief in the individual freedoms that are the founding principles of our country.

So as time passed, many Americans came to the conclusion that our government’s job was to spread “our freedom” to everyone else in the world.

As painful as it might be, our country needs to step back and stop interfering with struggles taking place in other countries.  We can root for freedom, but we cannot play a role in manipulating the evolution of change.

Mubarak was a despicable dictator for thirty years because it was in the best interest of Israel for him to stay in power.  So should we support principles of freedom or support despots?  We need to decide our role so we can be consistent.  If we choose freedom over security then we need to know that.

If we determine that is it our job to “share” our view of freedom and Free the world from Kings and Dictators we better beef up our armies.

February 18, 2011

Do We Grade Presidents on the Curve?

by Steve Dana

I don’t think there is a Diplomacy 101 class that will prepare you to deal with crises like we are having in Egypt, North Africa and the Islamic countries east to Saudi Arabia so it’s understandable that President Obama’s diplomatic A-Team are not All Stars; some wouldn’t even make varsity.  I guess that since there weren’t any proven diplomats in the Clinton Administration there weren’t any Obama could bring back onto the current team except lightweights.

Like every President, Obama will be judged years later on how he and his team deal with this whole affair.  I don’t think there is a right answer and a wrong answer when you have to make decisions in the moment with the information available at your disposal in that moment until time passes and in hind sight we can judge right and wrong. (It won’t keep us from second guessing him though.)

It’s unfortunate that our states-people are having to learn on the job that what we say matters on the world stage.  If it weren’t so important in the politics of the world, it would be comical watching James Clapper and Leon Panetta fumble with their testimony before Congress. 

They want so much to say that the Muslim Brotherhood is a harmless organization with only a few bad apple terrorists on their fringe because that fits their political goals, but the truth is the Muslim Brotherhood is a terrorist organization with a few harmless peaceniks on their fringe.  How do Clapper and Panetta justify taking a paycheck for such incompetence.

If there wasn’t so much evidence that refutes their testimony we would normally accept their testimony as the gospel and that would be dangerous.  Thank God that these guys are so obviously incompetent or creatively prevaricating that they have no credibility what-so-ever.

The Obama Team is not winning any points for diplomacy after their first two years in office and this Egypt crisis does not bode well for the next two years.  I hope our country survives.

In the interest of full disclosure, I did not take that diplomacy class either but I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night.

February 2, 2011

Who’s on First, What’s on Second?

by Steve Dana

If a President is judged by his success in dealing with crises then this situation in Egypt should provide a good measuring stick for Barack Obama. 

If President Obama and his diplomatic team working in concert with the diplomatic efforts of every other major Western power can help broker a peaceful transition from Mubarak to a caretaker government that will allow the democratic process to mature in Egypt then the President will be able to get some of the credit and it will be a big win for an administration frequently thought of as being inept at foreign affairs.

The implications of change in Egypt are monumental.  The politics of the region related to security in Israel are crucial, added to the strategic value of the Suez Canal in facilitating transport of petroleum products to Europe along with transporting every other kind of products back and forth from the Mediterranean community to the Arabian Peninsula really makes the adjustment in the human condition almost an afterthought. 

Geo-Politically, security in the Mediterranean and the Middle East all hinge on the cooperation between Egypt and various Western interests.  Our country supports dictators when their cooperation is needed to achieve our political goals. We have chosen over the years to overlook the internal workings of despot governments that cooperate with us while we have been critical of the ones that don’t play ball by our rules.

Nobody will argue that the people of Egypt don’t have every right to overthrow a dictator that has abused his country for so many years.  We applaud their guts for taking the risk in standing up to a well armed strong man. 

But wait a minute, if they toss out this bad guy that they hate but we sorta like because he sees things our way and someone seizes power that they like but we don’t like so much, where does that leave our Geo-Political security?

If preserving Israel is your number one priority, how would that affect your desires in Egypt?  If you were concerned about oil availability and price to the world markets how important would the “right” leadership be in Egypt?

And in my very simple overview, how does the possible change from a secular government to an Islamic non-secular government affect the game?  And within their own ranks the battle between the two major sects of the Muslim religion poses another set of problems.

I have to admit that the political differences between the Sunni and Shiite Muslims still perplex me.  I know they dislike each other like the Catholics and Protestants in Northern Ireland, but I have never studied their history well enough to really know why. 

What I know is if the oil in the Middle East dried up nobody would care what happened there just like we didn’t care before we found out they had oil and we wanted it.

Who rules Egypt matters because a significant chunk of the world economy depends on a reliable stream of oil moving from the Middle East to all other parts of the world.

Even if the US developed alternative sources of fuel for our cars, we would still care because of the inability of our other trading partners to satisfy their own energy needs.  We can’t stick our head in the sand on this issue.

Our President will need to reveal what his priorities are as the politics in the region evolve.  He will be judged by how well he spins them compared to their outcome.

The reason a guy runs for President of the United States is because he thinks he is the smartest guy in the room and has all the best ideas.  Let’s see how smart this one is and if he has any ideas at a very crucial time in our history!