Posts tagged ‘Political commentary’

October 9, 2008

Am I “Wall Street” or “Main Street”?

by Steve Dana

Let me see if I understand what is happening.  The banking industry demonstrated questionable judgment by making poor loans that put their businesses in jeopardy of bankruptcy.  In some cases the mortgage companies and/or banks did actually go bankrupt.  Isn’t that what happens when we get careless?  It happens to consumers every day.  How is this situation different?

 

So I have some questions.  Did all this happen because the housing market failed to continue its unreasonable meteoric growth rate?  What drove that meteoric growth?  When the market was exploding upward was anyone concerned that the real value of the underlying assets was much lower?  Was everyone seduced by the unreal returns?  Since we all know the cyclical nature of the real estate market didn’t some smart guys see the end coming in time to raise a warning?  Who is supposed to be listening for a warning?  Is there supposed to be someone looking for warnings?

 

Then when the housing market crashed, weren’t there safeguards built into the regulatory system to soften the landing?  Aren’t there safeguards in the system?  What should reasonable safeguards be?  Where should they be imposed?  Is this a State or Federal issue?

 

Is this whole thing a failure of government or the private sector?  Should government be the “Black Knight” and let the failed institutions fail and let the market take care of it or should the government be the “White Knight” and come to the rescue?

 

The crisis became a catastrophe when we learned that most of the major financial institutions were infected with the disease.  Could that be characterized as massive corporate greed?  When it was just a crisis, we let the individual institutions be swallowed up by scavenger investor institutions.  Isn’t that just the way of the world?  Then when it became a catastrophe, the stakes were too high to let the banks go under.  There must have been too many failing banks for the “big boys” like JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and the Bank of Americas to step in and rescue (steal) with infusions of capital.  When Warren Buffet put up $5 Billion to prop up one of those fat cats, he didn’t do it without demanding a pound of flesh with an equity stake.

 

Since Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were privately held public corporations how should they be treated in all this mess?  If they hold trillions of dollars worth of mortgages that are performing and a couple hundred billion that are not performing, what are they worth?

 

In the end, if you had your retirement funds invested with one of these major financial institutions you pretty much lost it all.  In the case of Washington Mutual, the company was taken over by JPMorgan Chase for a fraction of the capitalized value of the shares.  Everything that made that company worth investing in was gone along with the value.

 

If the government is stepping in to prop up “Wall Street” so we can save “Main Street”, what are share holders whose IRA’s and 401K’s are invested in those companies, “Wall Street” or “Main Street”?  If the home owners are the “Main Street” part, how exactly are they to be helped?  If your retirement account has been destroyed because you invested in financial stocks how are you saved?  If you borrowed more money than you can repay, why is the government stepping in to save you and not the folks who saved enough to invest and now face the loss of their retirement investments?

 

There is no doubt that the executives and boards of directors of many publicly traded companies are responsible for this debacle.  By not providing the proper amount concern about the downside risk, they put the shareholders in jeopardy.  There is nothing wrong with taking advantage of good times, but we now know if you don’t prepare for the down turn, you might be left holding the bag.  Let this be a warning to little investors; if the directors of the companies in which you own shares are not looking out for your interests, can you afford to invest in that company?

 

In light of all this corporate failure there has been a lot of conversation about executive compensation.  Some opinions suggest that there should be limits to executive pay.  I can’t support that any more than I would a limit on profit.  Share holders hire executives to increase share value.  Confidence in a corporation comes from smart executives who develop management policies and efficiencies that produce goods and services for a profit.  When it is working, things look pretty good.  If investors are willing to pay a hundred times earnings, should anyone be concerned?  You cannot limit executive pay any more than you can a movie star or a ball player.  Super stars command high salaries.

 

Free market advocates have now seen that there is too much greed and corruption for that system to work the way it is supposed to, but at the same time, most of us are not interested in a Socialist State either.  We are looking for a “modified free market system”.  For many years the system seemed to work, what changed?  Can we shove this thing back into the box?

 

I sure hope we are making a list of lessons we have learned and formulating some plans for rebuilding the regulatory system to safe guard consumers from predatory lenders and share-holders from irresponsible corporate managers.  As for every formidable task, we will have to eat this elephant a tiny bite at a time.  If we put a lot of hot sauce on this rotten meat, we can get it down.

 

I suspect that it will be easier to protect consumers than share holders, but in this difficult time we need to be working on it.

 

I still haven’t figured out whether I am “Wall Street” or “Main Street”.  I could use a bail out.

October 7, 2008

What, Me Worry?

by Steve Dana

Everywhere we turn today, the headlines point to negative impacts of a shrinking economy.  The Feds are printing billions of dollars to meet their commitments for the rescue.  The State of California is pleading for a bail out.  The State of Washington will balance its’ budget, but not without some serious cutting.

 

It is no surprise that Snohomish County government faces a crisis.  The County Executive submitted a budget with a lot of grief.  Shortfalls in revenue mean reductions in services and staff.  If you are one of those casualties of a reduction of staff, you have a lot of grief.

 

In addition to a shrinking of the economy, County government suffers from a shrinking tax base every time an annexation is approved by the Boundary Review Board and a City council.  Counties have mandates from the state to move urban growth into cities.  It makes sense for the cities to be the urban service providers.  The mandates don’t include corresponding methods to fund county-wide services after sales tax revenues have migrated to the cities.

 

I am most familiar with Snohomish County, but the problem is probably the same in most counties.

 

I have been critical of Snohomish County for aggressively promoting urban development in unincorporated areas.  I believe that the Growth Management Act told counties to get out of the urban development business.  I still believe that the reason we have a Growth Management Act is because of “out of control” county governments, but I have already beaten that horse in previous blog entries.

 

The budget crisis we face in our county comes in part from the fact that as the urban areas annex into cities, the sales tax revenue goes with it.  Whether I like it or not, County government counts on that sales tax revenue to fund government services.  If that revenue goes away, there are problems.

 

As residents and taxpayers in the county, we all need county-wide services like the Criminal Justice system which includes the Sheriff, the Jail, the Prosecutor and the Courts along with the Assessor, the Auditor, the Treasurer and the Clerk.  We still need Public works and transportation departments in rural areas.  And even though it is a separate entity, the Health District provides a vital county-wide service.  I would include the Planning Department, but I could make an argument against the need for those turkeys.

 

Regardless of your political persuasion, County-wide services need to be funded.  The issue about how the pool of money is divided amongst the departments is the small stuff.  That is the politics of government at every level.  How large that pool of money should be is the big question.  Since the Assessor’s office jacked up our property values in an expanding real estate market to fund huge revenue growth during the past couple years, I hate to see what he will do when market forces tell him our property is not worth those big numbers anymore and at the same time revenue demands remain high.

 

A downturn in the economy is a good time to develop a budget strategy.  If it is developed correctly, it will serve government in prosperous times as well. 

 

All the years I was Mayor in Snohomish, Kelly Robinson was my City Manager.  He told me he could prepare a budget regardless of the revenue, but that less revenue meant fewer services.  He was keyed into the size of government.  Since government services are predominantly personnel costs, he tied the growth in personnel to conservative revenue estimates to prevent big swings in hiring and subsequent layoffs.  He was constantly aware of long term revenue commitments from expanding staffing.  For many years, he was able to provide revenue for discretionary budget commitments because he was not totally committed to an inflated employee base.  As economic cycles change, extra revenue in good times goes to fund projects and not staff.

 

The foundation of my own philosophy of government management is built on the lessons I learned working with Kelly Robinson.  I think our county could put some of those lessons to use today.  Where is Kelly when we need him?

 

In order to balance the budget in our county, we need to look for ways to reduce spending in places where everyone won’t suffer.

 

I have a couple ideas that would change how our government is run.

 

The first change.  To the degree allowable by the County Charter, I would move control or oversight of the Long Range Planning Department to the Legislative Branch.  Anything that has to do with developing the Comprehensive Plan and Land Use regulation would fall into a Council managed area.  The Planning Department Director, an appointee of the Executive has too much control.  The “policy development” elected officials need to have more control over what the Planning Department does.  This would keep the council members engaged with what is happening in their districts.

 

The permitting and execution of the plan and regulations would stay with the executive department.

 

The second change.  I would suggest that urban growth areas outside city boundaries should be served by city police departments rather than the county sheriff.  I would support annexations that move that process along.  All the deputies that are currently based within an urban growth area would be reassigned to areas outside urban growth areas.  The size of the sheriff’s office could be reduced considerably.  If we maintain the ratio of officers to thousands of population but applied in areas away from cities, the number of officers needed would be smaller.  Providing police services in a rural environment only could clarify the mission for deputies and the public.

 

How many of us expect urban police services from the Sheriff today?  Everyone should have an understanding about different expected levels of service from a sheriff’s deputy compared to a city police officer.  The mission of the Sheriff’s deputy is not the same as an urban police officer.

 

The other services provided by the Sheriff’s office that are not patrol related would be evaluated and future service levels would be determined based upon new assessments of need.  Special services provided by the Sheriff’s office might be paid with “fee for service” charges to the jurisdiction that requires the service.

 

Cities would have to step up to their responsibilities in providing police services in Urban Growth Areas just as the county has had to assume higher costs for jail, prosecution and court services for the whole county.

 

It could be that the whole issue of Criminal Justice funding should be viewed as a county wide cost and a method of funding the system be based upon population so that as the population percentage in the unincorporated moves into the incorporated, funding shifts from the county to the cities.  At the same time, the cities need a seat at the table when developing Criminal Justice policies and budget development. 

 

Snohomish County Tomorrow could become a relevant organization again if it is required that the county and the cities work together to address growth and criminal justice issues rather than giving the county all the power by itself. 

 

It is clear that our county leaders don’t have a corner on smarts.

 

Can the extra services provided by the Sheriff’s office be tied to a levy?  Can the voters decide to tax themselves for higher levels of service not provided by existing tax revenues?  Can there be dedicated revenue sources for Criminal Justice?  For other government services?

 

Can we restrict the size of government to some economic factor?  Prohibit growth in government spending by law?

 

Even though I don’t particularly care for Aaron Reardon’s style and approach to government, I cannot fault him for filling in the void of leadership left by the County Council.  I think that if council members had their own agendas and campaigned for them like Reardon does during the whole term, the taxpayers in our county would be better served.

 

Solving our county’s budget problems is not a task for the faint of heart.  Our elected officials need to have courage to battle for things rather than against.  We need council members that can stand toe to toe with Reardon and give as good as they get.

September 30, 2008

Deal or No Deal

by Steve Dana

The bail out plan didn’t pass in the House of Representatives on Monday.  The votes cast were bi-partisan in that both Democrats and Republicans voted “aye” in support of the legislation.  At the same time, both Democrats and Republicans voted “nay” as well.

 

In the newspaper it said that the House Democrats had a “Gentlemen’s Agreement” with the House Republicans that the R’s would deliver 100 yes votes.  The D’s wanted to make sure that the blame would be shared by both parties if the deal turned out to be a bad deal.  I don’t disagree with them.  Since the R’s failed to deliver the 100 yes votes, the D’s are blaming the R’s for the bill going down.

 

The majority party in both houses of the Congress is Democratic.  They had the votes in their own party caucus to pass the legislation, if the rank and file members thought it was the best they could do, but they couldn’t convince their own members this was the best deal possible.  The vote failed, the government is in crisis.

 

I doubt that anyone is wildly excited about the details in the failed legislation.  Everyone is counting on the smart guys coming up with the best deal possible before the whole thing crashes.  My question to all the folks who voted no is this.  “If you were not comfortable with the deal on the table, what specific changes would make you happy?”

 

The President, the Treasury Secretary and all the Congressional leadership folks spent a lot of time putting this deal together.  That means both D’s and R’s were at the table offering their two cents worth.  So what is so bad about this deal?

 

Apparently, the telephone calls to the elected officials are heavily opposing the deal.  That means the voters are pressuring their Representative to vote one way and their party leaders are pressuring them to vote the other.  Isn’t that a conundrum for the politicians?

 

I still want to hear specifics from the elected officials on both sides if this issue.  If they liked the deal, what parts did they like?  If they didn’t like the deal, what parts didn’t they like?  Eventually, these characters are going to have to step up and offer their own ideas, aren’t they?  Maybe we should wonder why we voted for any of them if they can’t tell us specifics.  The solution for this crisis will be painful for us citizens.  I am not interested in letting any of these yahoos off the hook.  I want specifics.

 

If they voted “yea” or “nay”, they should be required to defend their vote.  I want to hear it from both sides!  Don’t you all want to as well?

September 23, 2008

What’s It Gonna Be, D or R?

by Steve Dana

As we enter into the final phase of this election season, the voters can hardly wait until the campaigning is done.  Most citizens are not knowledgeable enough about a state budget to know whether Dino or Christine knows best, all we know is the ads never stop.  This year has been extra long since the presidential campaigns started last year.  Who knows who is telling the truth in the campaigns?  I don’t think most of us care anymore.

 

Political campaigns are all about getting your candidate elected.  We have become desensitized to the words used in the ads because we know they don’t really mean anything.  Political campaigns are not about facts and ideas.  We all know politicians that sit in our living rooms and tell us one thing and then turn around in their elected job and do just the opposite.  The only ideas they seem to have are about how to twist the facts. 

 

When Joe Biden was running against Barack Obama, he said some pretty negative things about Obama.  When Hillary Clinton was running against Barack Obama, she said some pretty negative things about Obama.  If you were a Democrat trying to figure out who to support for President, you heard some scathing criticisms of Obama from generally credible leaders.  We look to our credible leaders for guidance. 

 

Then when it was clear that Obama was the Party nominee, all those criticisms were retracted.  Were they mistaken before when they were comparing themselves to Obama?  “You should vote for me because I am for this and Barack Obama is not.”  “I have experience with this and Barack Obama does not.”  “I am qualified to lead this country and Barack Obama is not.”  Which is it, “I was mistaken before when I characterized him as being unfit for the job.” or am I mistaken now for flip-flopping and telling you “he is the absolutely best qualified person for the job.”? 

 

Politics allows two or more people to perpetrate vicious acts upon one another one day and invite the same people over to the house the next day for a barbecue without regard for the rhetoric.  How are citizens supposed to understand the messages contained in that behavior?  Either a guy is qualified or he is not…. Except in politics?

 

We have elected presidents with varied levels of experience.  All of them managed to muddle through. Certainly some did it better than others.  It is clear that no person can be absolutely prepared for the job of President of the United States prior to being elected to the job.  There is no training program.  We narrow the field of “big egos” by looking at previous voting records  accomplishments in office, personal statements and who supports them currently. 

 

What I look for in candidates is experience, character and ideas.

 

Even though he supports conservative issues, John McCain has a record of pitching ideas that are frequently not consistent with his Party Caucus.  He has shown a willingness to look at ideas that serve a cause first and their origin second.  Sometimes the good ideas come from his own party and at other times they come from the other party.  In his speech at the Republican Convention, he talked about good ideas on both sides of the aisle and how important the ideas are and not who gets credit for the ideas.  That was important to me.

 

Partisan ownership of ideas seems to be the stumbling block in politics and government today.  “If it didn’t originate in our caucus, it is totally unacceptable!”

 

Presidential elections are about shared values and visions rather than specifics.  Voters look for a candidate that they think will deliver on their specific needs without actually articulating what those needs might be.  Voters listen to the ads, the debates, the pundits and the candidates looking for that common ground on their issues.  When the time to vote comes, they will be selecting the candidate that they feel is most consistent with their vision for the future.  After the election we hope for specific ideas that will get us the vision.

 

Each president inherits the leftovers of the previous administration.  Those leftovers shape the actions of the new president.

 

Circumstances are different for every president and they shape the decisions that become a record of accomplishment or failure.  When the Congress is controlled by one party and the President is of the same party, the dynamics between them are different than when they are different.  When the Republicans took control of Congress in 1994, Bill Clinton’s strategy had to change just as George W Bush had to adjust when the Democrats reclaimed control in 2006.  Jimmy Carter was unable to act decisively even though he had a Democratic Congress that Ronald Reagan was able to work with.

 

If you are for bigger government, vote for the Democrat.  If you are for smaller government, vote for the Republican.  Even though Bush has “gone off into the ditch” with government spending for the military and security issues, Republican philosophy at most levels of government champion the “less is more” ideal. 

 

We have to choose who our President will be from the two choices, but we can apply the general rule of thumb.  D’s are for bigger government and R’s are for smaller government. 

 

Obama is for bigger government and McCain is for smaller government.  Beyond that it is all political posturing. 

 

After the election the players that lose will still have their old jobs and the winner will invite them to the White House for a barbecue and all will be forgiven.  Hey, nothing personal.