Archive for ‘Political commentary’

February 18, 2019

Arguments FOR Diversity and The Electoral College

by Steve Dana

As a lifelong resident of Washington state, I can tell you that this is God’s country.  Where else in the country can you find the diversity of almost everything you find in the northwest corner of the lower 48.  The climate in our state varies from rain forest on the peninsula to desert on the east side.  The Pacific Ocean on the coast and the Cascade Mountains a hundred miles inland.  High tech and manufacturing on the west side and farming and ranching on the east side.  Big cities with high population and traffic congestion on the west side and wide-open range with small town USA stretching from north to south to the east.  The contrasts that exist in our state can be breathtaking.  Breathtaking in one way in particular; the concentration of power not just on the west side, in the greater Seattle/King County area.

As the high tech and manufacturing companies have boomed in King County, the population has exploded accordingly.  From an economic standpoint the region is thriving but along with the boon come the trickle-down impacts that aren’t always kind to all socio-economic segments of the population.  Property values and rents have sky-rocketed as the demand outpaced the addition of new housing options.  For the new tech workers, it established a new norm.  For the lower income base, it created a crisis in housing.  Poorer people were either forced to move further out to the suburbs or they became homeless, living in tents and cardboard boxes throughout the urban landscape.

If you look at the state from the legislative standpoint the level of diversity is evident.  Corresponding to the growth of high tech in the Puget Sound region, the way voters have selected their representatives has changed dramatically.  Almost all of the central Puget Sound area now sends Democrats to the legislature where there previously was a balance.  The net result is that the makeup of the legislature is dominated by Democrats and by extension, they control the agenda and the focus of state resources.

Parts of the state feel helpless as King County Democrats determine their fate.  They have representatives in the legislature, but their influence is marginalized by their chronic minority status.  As much as they appeal for a voice and a fair share, they are reminded that there are consequences of elections.

From a political point of view, the state of Washington is less diverse than we have ever been for many decades.  For the residents of the suburban counties and rural counties there is little chance to have a meaningful voice because the population and concentration of Democrats in the urban counties is so dominant.  One county has so many Democrat votes it controls the whole state.  That’s the reality in Washington state today.

This scenario is played out is other states as well.  As the population centers have grown, their political power has increased proportionally to the point where the states of Oregon and California to our south are also dominated by Democrats in limited geographic concentrations.  The balance of power has sharply shifted to the left because of the concentration of Democrat voters in the urban areas.

The conclusion I came to is that concentrating all the power in one location isn’t healthy for our whole state as it isn’t for our neighbors either.

Now, when you think about why our founding fathers adopted the Electoral College to elect our president you will see that in order to equalize the states with much higher populations with the smaller states with fewer residents the big states were only granted so many electors based upon their representation in Congress.  The founders knew that New York could determine the fate of the country because of their population disparity with their smaller neighbors if only the popular vote was used.  The founders knew that in order that every state could participate in the presidential election process, they needed to shift influence to smaller states by guaranteeing that their votes counted.

The founders recognized that the nation needed the benefits of both the rural and urban economies but if the power was only allocated by population, the control would accrue in the urban.

If the presidential election process abandons the Electoral College, the voters in five or six cities will have enough votes to call all of the shots and our votes will matter as much as those in Okanogan County in our state legislature.

February 11, 2019

Youthful Indiscretions or Character Flaws?

by Steve Dana

Regarding the controversy in Virginia, I think there are distinct issues to be considered.  First, there is are acts of bad judgement and second there are crimes.  If there is an allegation of criminal behavior, the authorities need to act accordingly.  Whether prosecution is pursued is a local decision.  If the issue is an act of bad judgement at some point in your life, should the result be destroying your career?  How we deal with each of them is important in light of the extreme reactions from the “Jumping to Conclusion Police (JCP)” that are quick to target others accused of something, anything.

We learned during the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation hearings that baseless allegations shouldn’t be allowed to ruin a nominee’s career.  We learned that accusations must be accompanied with corroboration to prevent character assassination without recourse.

During that painful time, we heard accusations from multiple women who accused the judge of sexual assault during his years in high school.  In the intervening years no hint of impropriety as Kavanaugh rose through the ranks of federal judiciary with multiple occasions where federal investigators dove into his past to expose misdeeds that would disqualify a candidate for appointment to any federal judgeship.  Not a word from anyone suggesting that Kavanaugh was unfit for appointment.

In each of the cases in Virginia, the circumstances are somewhat different.

In Governor Northam’s case, youthful indiscretion is only part of the issue.  His response to the allegation was to deny that he was either the guy in black face or the guy in the KKK robes; either of which would be problematic.  That is the problem for me.  The fact that he is confused suggests that he was caught in a lie.  Where have we heard that lying derails a career more frequently than bad judgement?

For Attorney General Herring, whose immediate reaction was to call for Northam’s resignation ended up admitting that he also dressed in black face as a youth.  The JCP jumped on him too and initially demanded his resignation.  His own hypocrisy of being guilty of semi-racist behavior while condemning Northam for the same demonstrates an apparent lack of character.

The case of Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax is different.  Two women accused him of sexual assault at different times in his life; one in college at Duke University and one later in his life.  There is corroborating evidence supporting their allegations but neither woman is asking for criminal prosecution.  Whether he is prosecuted or not, his repeated assaults suggest he might be an abuser.

For the partisans in the crowd, it has been pointed out that all three elected officials in Virginia are of the Democrat persuasion creating pressure from the party to respond.  Since the ME TOO Movement came about as a result of liberals calling out some of their most noteworthy icons as sexual predators it got a lot of news coverage and reaction from political leaders.  It was fashionable to judge the witch on the pyre without evidence corroborating their claim, only an allegation.  Everyone who had a soap box was up there judging.

That time conditioned us to believe that an allegation was good enough to convict, so they were quick to demand Kavanaugh be disqualified from serving on the Supreme Court.  What Kavanaugh did that differed from the celebrities was to demand his accusers provide evidence corroborating their claims.   Judge Kavanaugh was asking for one of the foundations of our justice system; due process.

Ultimately, everyone is entitled due process and shouldn’t be burned at the stake based upon flakey allegations.  Without offering an opinion about Northam, Fairfax or Herring, I would just say each is entitled to full investigation before they make a decision about resigning.  Absent criminal prosecution, it will be their decision to resign or stay.

When Donald Trump was a candidate, he was accused of being immoral at the least and the opposition wanted his behavior to disqualify him from serving.  Trump’s defenders said, “Let the voters decide.”  And that is what I would say about Northam, Fairfax and Herring, their behavior might be characterized as racist in the cases of Northam and Herring, but while racism is distasteful, it’s not a crime.  In the case of Fairfax, if his accusers aren’t willing to press charges and the prosecutors aren’t inclined to prosecute, then that case goes nowhere.  If character matters for elected officials, then this might be an opportunity for them to demonstrate if they have any.

Each of these elected officials has exposed their questionable character and are guilty of bad judgement or “youthful indiscretions” but like Trump, they will be judged by the voters when they next stand for re-election.

Remember Marion Berry was convicted of multiple felonies and still re-elected Mayor of Washington DC so voters may not be as concerned about any of these characters as you might.

February 10, 2019

Thoughts about Presidential Candidates

by Steve Dana

In 2016, Republicans went through the process of selecting a presidential candidate from a large field (17 candidates) that ultimately narrowed it down to Donald Trump.  Now with the democrats forced to pick a challenger, it looks like they will have even more names than the GOP.  Some estimates say the field will number more than 20 Democrats but realistically, you have to produce some creds to be taken seriously and most of the wannabes will fail to deliver; Vanity campaigns.  Hoping to learn from the past, I compiled a file on past presidents to see if there were patterns that might lead to a winner in 2020.

It’s interesting to note who our presidents have been over the past sixty years and where they came from.  John Kennedy was a first term Senator in 1960.  Kennedy’s work life was almost entirely as an elected member of the congress both in the house and the senate.  He was a first term senator from Massachusetts when he ran.  Lyndon Johnson took over after Kennedy’s assassination and was elected to the job in 1964 but he was also a senator from Texas before teaming with Kennedy as his vice president.  Lyndon Johnson spent most of his working life in the congress both in the house and the senate.  He was a lawyer.

In 1968 Richard Nixon (a lawyer) was out of government but came back to win the presidency. His previous job had been Eisenhower’s vice president and before that he was in the congress from California.  When he was driven out of office following his re-election in ’72, Jerry Ford filled in but failed to win election to his own term.  Ford was also a lawyer and career politician.

Jimmy Carter was governor from Georgia and a relative unknown, but he came out of the sticks and beat Ford in 1976.  Carter had been a farmer before election to governor. Carter was a graduate of the Naval Academy and spent a number of years serving in the Navy.  Carter was not a lawyer.

In 1980, Ronald Reagan won and was re-elected in 1984.  Reagan had been governor of California previous to running for president.  He was thought of as a weak candidate because of his actor back ground.   In 1988 George Bush won the presidency after being Reagan’s vice president for eight years.  He only served one term.  Bush 41 was probably the best qualified candidate in modern times having been a successful business man in Texas before serving in the congress, as an ambassador and as director of the CIA.  Neither Reagan or Bush 41 were lawyers.

In 1992 Bill Clinton was elected as governor of Arkansas.  Other than being a lawyer by trade he spent his whole working life as an elected official in Arkansas.  Clinton served two terms.  Where Nixon resigned before he was impeached, Clinton stuck it out through the impeachment process but was not removed from office by the senate.

In 2000, George W Bush won the presidency as the governor of Texas.  He served two terms.  He spent eight years as governor of Texas but previous to that was an OIL MAN in the state. Bush 43 was not a lawyer.

In 2008, Barack Obama won a hard-fought battle to be the democrat nominee over Hillary Clinton then defeated John McCain for the presidency.  Obama was a lawyer by trade whose work history described him as a neighborhood organizer.  Other than that, he had never held a job until being elected to the Illinois State legislature.  He was a first term Senator when he ran for president.

In 2016 businessman and political rookie Donald Trump defeated sixteen primary rivals and the vaunted Hillary Clinton to be president.  He came directly to the highest office in the land from the business world.  It wasn’t the first time in our country’s history that it happened, but in the modern era it was unheard of.  More often than not, the candidates have been lawyers by trade.  In my mind that is not a recommendation.  Of the winners of the office in this review all but Carter, Reagan, Bush 41 and Bush 43 and Trump were lawyers.  Is it any wonder our country is in the dire straits with so many lawyers in charge?  Of the non-lawyers, all were Republicans except Carter.

So, in review, voters in America have been fed lawyers with little or no management experience running anything in the private sector to manage the largest enterprise in the world and we’re surprised it hasn’t thrived?

The success of a president is frequently impacted by the level of cooperation with the congress.  If you have a president with a congress of the same party the outcome can be impressive because of the compatible ideology.  A president with a split congress will be somewhat less successful because of the compromise required to work with the opposition party.  The hardest time a president will have if the congress is wholly of the opposition party.  That is hell in the world of politics.

Gauging the success of presidents needs to be viewed in the context of the congresses they worked with. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to be successful if the congress is with you.  It takes a master deal maker to accomplish anything if the congress is opposite.  From a nuance perspective, the size of the political majority is also a factor.

If Trump is the deal maker he tells us he is, the next two years will be his biggest test.  The clinker might be the determination of the opposition to prove him to be a loud-mouthed blow hard.  Sadly, Trump’s style will not serve him when he in forced to work with people he has insulted time and time again.  That might be a teaching moment for Trump.  Insulting your rivals might bite you in the ass down the road.

Now moving forward to the looming campaign of 2020, the Democrats are jockeying for the run.  It’s interesting to note the number of first term senators (like Obama) who view the time being right for another lawyer to run the country.  It appears that lawyers will be the most numerous in the field this cycle as well.

Joe Biden, Kirsten Gillibrand, Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, Cory Booker and now Amy Klobuchar all lawyers, all career politicians.  None of them have experience running a business or managing an organization larger than a campaign.

Bernie Sanders is a career politician but is not a lawyer.  Interestingly, the Democrats allowed Sanders to run as a Democrat when he competed against Hillary Clinton even though he does not belong to the Democrat Party.  It will be interesting in the next cycle to see if they allow an unaffiliated candidate to participate.  Howard Schultz is thinking about running as an independent even though he has always identified as a democrat.  How can Sanders run as a D if he’s never identified with the party?

I have to concede that Abe Lincoln was a lawyer, so I’m not completely turned off by them but the reason our country is in the difficulty we are is largely due to lawyers and insurance companies.  And yet, we keep regurgitating lawyers as candidates.

Donald Trump has demonstrated that a guy with good business instincts can do good work leading the country so I don’t think we should eliminate business people from consideration.  As a side consideration, for a business guy, being president calls for a cut in pay.  For career politicians, election to the presidency is a step up in status and pay.  It might be worthwhile to develop a cultivation program for business people as candidates so they can bring that experience to the job.

Finally, what we’ve learned from Trump is that our president does need a bedside manner.  Our president needs to be the hard ass in private while being civil in public.

March 26, 2018

Fund the Carnegie at the expense of What?

by Steve Dana

Like most of you, I read the article in the Everett Herald about the county’s plan to build the much down-sized court house remodel. I’m happy for the court house workers that they are getting updated facilities they need so badly.

This example in Everett of elected officials recognizing the error of spending $172 million for the original plan and scuttling the deal even though they had already spent millions up to that point can serve us as we look at the Snohomish Carnegie Library project. Snohomish needs to make sure that spending $4-5 million dollars on the old Carnegie is the best use of our limited public funds.

The county council pulled the plug on the project because it was too expensive. What makes their case different from ours is the fact that the project they killed actually served the people working on the county government campus. The common sense elected officials concluded that spending an extra hundred million didn’t make any sense. Even in the face of a critical need.

So, I come back to the decision-making process in Snohomish regarding the Carnegie Library project. There’s no question that there are strong feelings about restoring the old building, but aside from historical aspects, the building will neither serve a constructive purpose in our little town nor fill a critical need. The spending of the public money will be for a vanity project that does not serve a single identified deficiency or person in our town.

I applaud the county council for recognizing the poor judgment of squandering that money when a more sensible alternative was available. I hope elected officials in all our communities vet big budget projects before they get so far into them that they cannot pull out.

I would hope that before we agree to commit public funds to a project, that project must serve a public need first and second the cost must be reasonable in the context of our total budget. One way to fund controversial projects is to put them up for a public vote. If the citizens want to take on bonded debt to pay for the project, then a public vote would confirm that. I would be in favor of that method of funding the Carnegie.  Then voters would agree to tax themselves to pay for the project.

All of our communities struggle with their own challenges in meeting the needs of their citizens. Both Lake Stevens and Arlington are living with working libraries that are grossly inadequate for their communities but like our city did, they are doing their fiscal analysis and hopefully concluding that the need justifies the cost. When we built our new library, it made sense because we determined the need justified the expenditure.

Now looking at the old Carnegie building, I see a building that has no functional purpose in our city. At the same time, our finance department is advising us that revenues coming into the city coffers are trending downward and how we must be cautious with our commitments looking out into the future.

The funding source for the Carnegie Library is Real Estate Excise Tax (REET) monies. This money is earmarked for certain kinds of projects; one of which could be restoration of the Carnegie. So technically, it qualifies. But the larger question that should be answered first is “What other projects might this money be used for that actually serve the needs of our city and citizens?”

I would hope the Snohomish City Council would do a thorough budget analysis regarding our REET funds to insure that committing millions to one project won’t handicap us in other parts of the city where there is an actual need.