Posts tagged ‘Politics’

April 17, 2019

AFFORDABLE HOUSING…Not Gonna Happen

by Steve Dana

In pursuit of answers regarding Affordable Housing, our investigation should consider all aspects of the problem.  I will include a few I know about.

The term “Affordable Housing” isn’t well defined so it can be considered in the context of properties for sale and properties for rent. Rental properties can be privately-owned, government owned like the Snohomish County Housing Authority or NGO owned (non-government organizations typically non-profits) like Cocoon House or Housing Hope subsidized by government.  These properties are for rent to people with varying income levels.

If you believe that public private partnerships might be a way to create affordable housing, they are working in some areas.  We approve property tax relief for some projects if there is an aspect of affordability incorporated into the credit agreement.  It’s not clear what qualifies for affordability in this scenario.

Section 8 has been a way to incent private landlords to rent to low income tenants, but the pool of money and the applicable regulations haven’t kept pace with demand.  There are anecdotal accounts of huge fraud within the Section 8 program that might warrant investigation.  It was reported recently that there is an eight year wait for Section 8 housing with the current inventory of properties.

Private sector property owners cannot be expected to cut rents out of the goodness of their hearts so if the government wants access to the property, they need to kick in enough to cover the differential between appropriate rent for low income tenants and market rent for the landlord.  There might be other incentives for landlords that would also make participating worthwhile.

If affordable housing is only for rental properties our focus could be on them, but home ownership is still the American dream.  How can we keep buying a home within the range of young families?

Let’s take a look at why buying a home is so expensive.

There are a few components to housing cost consistent with all segments; land cost itself, driven by local and state/federal regulations, building regulation driven by local permits and fees and construction cost of the building.

From the standpoint of housing cost at a structure level, the cost in our market is comparable to other places in the country.  Framing materials, plywood, roofing, drywall, carpet and fixtures are generally the same price across multiple markets.  A home built in Boise, Idaho should have approximately the same component cost as a home built in Snohomish, Washington.

So, for the most part, factors effecting housing cost for consumers is driven by something other than the structure.  It appears that government regulations are the driving force.

Right out of the gate, the government controls the zoning of the land that might meet affordability requirements better if more was set aside for multi-family development rather than single family detached housing.  Encouraging condominium construction might address a deficiency for housing where ownership is a priority.  Condo construction comes with its own set of obstacles also created by the government we cannot begin to address here.

When the state passed the Growth Management Act, it created a tool to limit the amount of land available to developers which we knew would artificially drive up the cost of developable land.  Areas outside Urban Growth Areas would be down-zoned to rural density in the One Dwelling Unit per Five acres range while land within UGA’s would immediately escalate in value because of the finite supply.  Supply and demand is still a market force that reflects shortages or surpluses in product or in this case, land.

When the government creates shortages through regulation, the cost goes up faster than in an unregulated market. Urban Growth Boundaries arbitrarily pick winners and losers.  The politics of urban growth designations add a layer of cost that compounds as the process evolves.

The process of dividing land required by local and state laws make $40,000 lots into $140,000 lots.

The other factor in the cost of housing is the skyrocketing increases in direct government regulatory cost through permitting, hook-up fees, mitigation fees and associated regulations from state regulatory agencies.  The Growth Management Act empowered cities and counties to collect mitigation fees supposedly to offset the cost of future development rather than to address existing deficiencies.  Without inventorying the deficiencies at the time, cities and counties went about collecting fees and spending money to build schools, roads and parks.  The burden of growth is supposedly borne by the new development.  Do we need to collect park impact fees if we have enough parks already?  How many parks do you need?  Can you use mitigation fees for anything other than purchase of the land?

School districts must develop a capital improvement plan to predict where and when new facilities should be built.  They analyze where schools are today and compare that with where students are coming from to know where deficiencies exist to be mitigated by new facilities.  In our district, there haven’t been school impact fees for a while since we built or remodeled schools through a huge bond issue.  That should establish a legitimate baseline for future growth to be paid for with mitigation fees.

Hook-up fees have become commonplace in the last twenty-five years as utilities discovered that they could sell the privilege of connecting rather than granting it for free as a property owner in the service area.  Hook up fees supposedly allow collection of funds that can be used to expand the physical delivery system in advance of growth.  I don’t think it’s happening that way in practice.  New pipes in the ground are now paid for by developers.  Under certain circumstances, they can recover a portion of the capital cost of the installation through late comer fees.

On top of that add Storm Water Collection and conditioning fees authorized/mandated by the state.

The science of sanitary sewer service is driven by federal and state laws which translate into higher sewer rates.  In recent years, clean water standards have driven up the cost of increasingly smaller incremental improvements in quality of the effluent released into the river.

The Shoreline Management act limits how property owners can use their land if it is within 200 feet of a significant waterway in the state.

Critical Area regulations also play a huge part in limiting the supply of land and how much of that land can be used for a designated purpose.

Currently we are developing local code language to address a mandate from the state to regulate archaeological aspects of privately-owned property that could substantially increase the cost of housing if there is a suggestion that artifacts are on the property.  Not proof that there are artifacts, but suggestion.

The bottom line for those clamoring for the government to do something, the government is doing something, they are driving up the cost of housing.  If the private sector is to be the solution to the problem, the government needs to cut the permit fees, mitigation fees and other fees while offering credits and incentives to the developer if the end use is committed to subsidized housing for low income or senior tenants.

Affordable Housing will not happen with government playing such a significant part in regulating housing in general.

The housing market is a hugely complex dynamic creation that cannot be explained in a couple hundred words.  The takeaway should be that every level of government regulation compounds and adds to the cost of housing for consumers.  Relief will only come from peeling away those regulatory requirements away.

January 4, 2017

Build American, Employ Americans, Buy American

by Steve Dana

I can remember a couple years ago when the Boeing Company was planning the 787 Dreamliner program and where to build the airplane.  There was mega competition between our state and a bunch of others.  I remember a half dozen state representatives from various states making a case for Boeing building the factory there.  Attracting Boeing jobs to their states and the economy created by those jobs is the thing we want for our whole country moving forward with the Trump administration.

The state of Washington was eager to throw in the kitchen sink to keep jobs here while South Carolina made a similar offer and was rewarded with an assembly plant.

Don’t tell me that every manufacturing company in and out of the US isn’t playing that same game.  Who is willing to give up the farm for the jobs our company brings when we choose your state or country.

If our government adopts regulatory policies, tax policies and trade policies that encourage businesses to move jobs out of the country, can we be too surprised when they do move to Mexico, China or Viet Nam?

When the goal of our elected officials is to tear down our country in order to build up foreign economies it all makes sense.  The New World Order folks are determined to level the playing field and it will happen at the expense of Americans and America.  For me, whatever we do needs to consider American interests first, period.

The two sectors of the economy growing in our country are Service and Public Employees.  Since we need a robust service sector to take care of us this group cannot be outsourced. We are making it really easy for immigrants (illegal or legal) to get jobs in the service sector. The problem is that they are the lowest paid sector and only insures that the workers remain poor.

The health care industry is one of the fastest growing service sector components, it does include workers in upper income areas, but since it’s closely tied to insurance companies, it isn’t really a free market industry.  Consider how many doctors are retiring because of the government and insurance company restraints.  Health care is a growth industry, but because of the regulation and insurance it’s not as much a profit center it once was.

The Public Employees range from Police and Fire Fighters, to city, county and state public works employees, transportation workers and many social service agencies.  Federal agencies also employ millions of Americans.  The good news for these employees is the pay tends to be higher than service sector jobs.  The bad news is public employees work for a non-producing segment of the economy.  Public agencies rely on the private sector economy to produce the revenues that feed the growth of government agencies.  Can you think of any government worker that is paid the minimum wage?

The bottom line is we need a very robust tech segment coupled with a robust manufacturing segment to create the jobs required to have a growing, producing economy that will produce tax revenues to feed government’s needs.  The role of government is to be good stewards of the public funds but since they didn’t have to work or sacrifice to make that money, it is often squandered.

The key is not the government, but the private sector businesses that produce the products and services and jobs that make up a healthy economy.

How could NAFTA or any other international trade agreement that encourages American businesses to move their facilities out of the country be good for Americans?

It used to be that there were American companies and foreign companies.  Now companies are international or not affiliated with a country; they are looking out for their share-holders first, second, third and last.  Privately held American companies are an exception but they represent a small percentage of businesses and a large number of employees.

If we want to grow the American economy, we need to create incentives to retain businesses and jobs here like we did with Boeing while we consider appropriate penalties for companies that move their jobs off shore but want to sell their goods here in America.

The answers are not simple, but since the companies don’t have allegiance to America first then I’m not as likely to cut them slack if their decisions exploit our economy but don’t enhance it.

If Americans believe that they will get a fair shake from any international government or company, they are nuts.  We need to fight for our economy even if it means some consumer goods are more expensive.  Build American, Employ Americans, Buy American.

November 11, 2016

YOUR’RE FIRED is still in play!

by Steve Dana

Now that the election is over, it’s time to get to work.  For the new administration, a legislative agenda would be helpful.  For each cabinet position where a new appointee will take over, a preliminary legislative plan needs to be developed in coordination with the corresponding House and Senate committee chairs.  Whoever is managing the ObamaCare replacement needs to be working simultaneously with other folks working on defense and veterans affairs, EPA regulatory burdens, the IRS Tax Code, immigration, trade policy and all the other government issues holding back our economy.

Each of the Committee Chairs in the Congress needs to be working with the new administration to propose and draft legislation then hold hearings that can move toward adoption one after the other.  Negotiating a preliminary framework for target legislation in the weeks prior to the inauguration should be a job for a guy like Newt Gingrich who already has a history with the Contract with America. Newt and Mike Pence should be able to work together to make it happen.

For years these electeds have been sitting on their butts doing nothing.  Now it’s time for them to start working positively FOR something.

Striking while the iron is hot is key.  Call the Republican leaders together and get them working on something positive; keep their feet to the fire and get something done.  It will be a good test of whether leadership in the Congress is serious about moving the rock or just jacking their jaws.  I suspect that Mitch McConnell might have another agenda, but we will see.

President-Elect (PE) Trump comes to the Presidency from the private business sector so he should be able to recruit executives from very successful businesses to facilitate some of the leadership tasks.  One of the things we’ve learned over the years is that when your President calls and asks you to set aside your personal agenda to serve your country, you need to give it serious consideration. Historically, politicians have turned to business round-tables for input.  We have an enormous pool of talent in our country waiting to be tapped into.  This is a good opportunity to bring folks in from key disciplines to offer suggestions.  A SHARK TANK for government.

If our government is operating properly, then the environment for business is invigorated.  Business leaders should be able to identify specific ways to reduce governmental burdens while protecting consumers from unscrupulous businesses.

Finally, whoever is chosen to lead our Defense Department and State Department need to strap on their vests and sidearms and develop a preliminary plan to take the reins and send the message around the world that America will not be intimidated or disrespected.

This is an aggressive plan for PE Trump that calls for him to demonstrate his business management skills including delegation of responsibilities.  It will be a test of the appointees.  Ironically, it may be another chance for Trump to invoke his most famous line; “You’re Fired” for folks who are not up to the task.

July 25, 2016

Trump: My candidate for America!

by Steve Dana

Where do I begin?

I’m getting tired of the right wing pundits pounding Trump as hard as the predictable left wingers will.  Folks I know who have been good Republicans for many years are now crazy NEVER TRUMPERS.  They suddenly become voters with a conscience with Trump when they were silent before with Romney and McCain before him.  Talk about do nothing candidates.

Last year before the primaries started, there were sixteen other candidates running for president ranging from private sector smart guys Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina to very experienced politicians with leanings from fairly middle of the road to very conservative; governors, senators and representatives in the congress.  There has never been a more experienced and highly regarded gang of presidential wannabees.

So when the Republican primaries are over and Donald Trump is the winner of the election process, some of these pundits and party insiders are outraged because the voters chose a guy they don’t like.  A guy whose persona offends them.  A guy who is characterized as unqualified to serve because he lacks political experience.  A guy they didn’t pick.

Let me tell you, the current president was elected enthusiastically twice without a lick of experience at anything besides “smooth talking”.  Frankly, the candidates MY PARTY put out there mostly had a very common characteristic, that of being a lawyer.  Remind me what lawyer you can remember who has a résumé with any accomplishments of note.  Being a professional elected official with a lawyer background is not a case for accomplishment or qualification.

If you listen to some of our most respected inventors and innovators and they will tell you that their success was not the product of a single try, but a lengthy list of failures leading up to a winner.  Jeff Bezos is a champion of trying and failing.  Then we get a look at the characterization of Trump and he’s branded a loser because of his failures.  Remember the smart guys tell you the only people not making mistakes are people not trying.

The right wing pundits are not happy with Trump even though he was the last man standing after a very lengthy, bloody primary process.  Even after a campaign lacking decorum and a seeming lack of reverence and respect for the job he aspires to, the voters still chose Trump and rejected the field.

Now the never Trumpers are willing to vote for Clinton so there is a clear path for a “REAL REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE” to run in 2020.  Talk about major stupid!  What about what happens during the next four years?  How about those SCOTUS appointments?  How about border security?  How about family wage jobs fleeing our country to the beneficiaries of NAFTA, WTO and now TPP?

Let’s be clear, I was not a Trump supporter when this process started.  I would love to have a Constitutional Conservative in the White House to help restore the Constitution in it’s original form as the guiding document for our government.  I believe in States Rights.  The corruption of the Constitution through crazy Supreme Court rulings that justify ignoring the words clearly outlined in the Bill of Rights and the Amendments distresses me to no end.

I have no illusions about Trumps conservativism.  He’s not a conservative.  But, he is an American patriot who recognizes the perils of GLOBALISM.  The movement trying to diminish the sovereignty of countries in an effort to improve international trade to the benefit of who?  Clearly not American workers.  Where I would like to see opportunities for farmers and manufacturers in my state to sell their products overseas, it cannot be after we sell our working class down the river.  The boardroom characters who see international borders as an impediment to profits can take a flying leap.  If the folks running for office don’t put America and American interests first, then where will that leave Ameria?  We are being reduced down to a supposed educated elite segment, public employee unions and a service sector economy riding roughshod over the remaining small business owners and middle American taxpayers.  None of these groups contributes a thing to GDP.  The measure of our economic health is GDP and growth of GDP.

Which of those reliable Republican candidates who lost to Trump were the ones the pundits and conservatives thought should have been the nominee?  My first choice candidate was Ted Cruz since he was a Constitutional Conservative, but like Trump, those party elitists couldn’t stand Ted because he actually had principles and honored his promise to the voters in his state to fight for better government.  Absolutely vilified by his colleagues in the Senate, by the members of the Republican caucus in the House and by the right wing media.  Ted had balls and stood up for principles and he was torched.

Yet, the two candidates who were standing at the end of the election process were Trump and Ted.  The darlings of the party were dispatched one after the other.  What does that tell you about the sense of the traditional party insiders in measuring their voters?

It had to be very painful to the party insiders to have to hold their noses when they tried to get on the Ted Train to derail the Trump Train.  They had to support one guy they hated to hopefully squash a guy they hated more.  And, where are the darlings of the Party?  Up the trail, whining in their beer!

What I hope to see from Trump is the side his family members tell us exists that will give me confidence that he can be a level headed leader who can appeal to American unity more than Obama.  If he is a champion of women and minorities in his business empire, he needs to bring those folks out for the rest of us to see and hear from.  I know that if I ask Clinton or Sanders or even Obama how many jobs they have personally created they won’t have an answer for me.  Or, how many contracts or treaties they have negotiated personally that might demonstrate their negotiating skills and they won’t have any examples.  How about listing any accomplishments in their working life that might suggest they have the skills or life experiences remotely qualifying them to run for anything, let alone President of the United States.

If the only qualification for the job based upon the pundits and the elitists is years in government and nothing else, we are in serious trouble.  That is why the people are rising up today.  The people are sick of the party elite picking lawyers and Goldman Sachs finance guys as the leadership since they will reliably kiss the ring of the industrialists.  Surprise, surprise!

Donald Trump is the candidate that reflects the will of the Republican Party voters so the party elite better get used to the idea.  What is troubling to me is the failure of our elected official to honor their voters in favor of the lobbyists and contributors.  They need our votes but sell out for the money.  A Donald Trump sends the message that our votes are not for sale and where we would have liked to support a traditional Republican candidate, there weren’t any out there we could trust.  I’ll take my chances with Trump.  He may not be a proper politician, but proper politicians are proven losers.

Vote for America this November by voting for Donald Trump!