Posts tagged ‘Politics’

October 9, 2008

Am I “Wall Street” or “Main Street”?

by Steve Dana

Let me see if I understand what is happening.  The banking industry demonstrated questionable judgment by making poor loans that put their businesses in jeopardy of bankruptcy.  In some cases the mortgage companies and/or banks did actually go bankrupt.  Isn’t that what happens when we get careless?  It happens to consumers every day.  How is this situation different?

 

So I have some questions.  Did all this happen because the housing market failed to continue its unreasonable meteoric growth rate?  What drove that meteoric growth?  When the market was exploding upward was anyone concerned that the real value of the underlying assets was much lower?  Was everyone seduced by the unreal returns?  Since we all know the cyclical nature of the real estate market didn’t some smart guys see the end coming in time to raise a warning?  Who is supposed to be listening for a warning?  Is there supposed to be someone looking for warnings?

 

Then when the housing market crashed, weren’t there safeguards built into the regulatory system to soften the landing?  Aren’t there safeguards in the system?  What should reasonable safeguards be?  Where should they be imposed?  Is this a State or Federal issue?

 

Is this whole thing a failure of government or the private sector?  Should government be the “Black Knight” and let the failed institutions fail and let the market take care of it or should the government be the “White Knight” and come to the rescue?

 

The crisis became a catastrophe when we learned that most of the major financial institutions were infected with the disease.  Could that be characterized as massive corporate greed?  When it was just a crisis, we let the individual institutions be swallowed up by scavenger investor institutions.  Isn’t that just the way of the world?  Then when it became a catastrophe, the stakes were too high to let the banks go under.  There must have been too many failing banks for the “big boys” like JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and the Bank of Americas to step in and rescue (steal) with infusions of capital.  When Warren Buffet put up $5 Billion to prop up one of those fat cats, he didn’t do it without demanding a pound of flesh with an equity stake.

 

Since Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were privately held public corporations how should they be treated in all this mess?  If they hold trillions of dollars worth of mortgages that are performing and a couple hundred billion that are not performing, what are they worth?

 

In the end, if you had your retirement funds invested with one of these major financial institutions you pretty much lost it all.  In the case of Washington Mutual, the company was taken over by JPMorgan Chase for a fraction of the capitalized value of the shares.  Everything that made that company worth investing in was gone along with the value.

 

If the government is stepping in to prop up “Wall Street” so we can save “Main Street”, what are share holders whose IRA’s and 401K’s are invested in those companies, “Wall Street” or “Main Street”?  If the home owners are the “Main Street” part, how exactly are they to be helped?  If your retirement account has been destroyed because you invested in financial stocks how are you saved?  If you borrowed more money than you can repay, why is the government stepping in to save you and not the folks who saved enough to invest and now face the loss of their retirement investments?

 

There is no doubt that the executives and boards of directors of many publicly traded companies are responsible for this debacle.  By not providing the proper amount concern about the downside risk, they put the shareholders in jeopardy.  There is nothing wrong with taking advantage of good times, but we now know if you don’t prepare for the down turn, you might be left holding the bag.  Let this be a warning to little investors; if the directors of the companies in which you own shares are not looking out for your interests, can you afford to invest in that company?

 

In light of all this corporate failure there has been a lot of conversation about executive compensation.  Some opinions suggest that there should be limits to executive pay.  I can’t support that any more than I would a limit on profit.  Share holders hire executives to increase share value.  Confidence in a corporation comes from smart executives who develop management policies and efficiencies that produce goods and services for a profit.  When it is working, things look pretty good.  If investors are willing to pay a hundred times earnings, should anyone be concerned?  You cannot limit executive pay any more than you can a movie star or a ball player.  Super stars command high salaries.

 

Free market advocates have now seen that there is too much greed and corruption for that system to work the way it is supposed to, but at the same time, most of us are not interested in a Socialist State either.  We are looking for a “modified free market system”.  For many years the system seemed to work, what changed?  Can we shove this thing back into the box?

 

I sure hope we are making a list of lessons we have learned and formulating some plans for rebuilding the regulatory system to safe guard consumers from predatory lenders and share-holders from irresponsible corporate managers.  As for every formidable task, we will have to eat this elephant a tiny bite at a time.  If we put a lot of hot sauce on this rotten meat, we can get it down.

 

I suspect that it will be easier to protect consumers than share holders, but in this difficult time we need to be working on it.

 

I still haven’t figured out whether I am “Wall Street” or “Main Street”.  I could use a bail out.

October 7, 2008

What, Me Worry?

by Steve Dana

Everywhere we turn today, the headlines point to negative impacts of a shrinking economy.  The Feds are printing billions of dollars to meet their commitments for the rescue.  The State of California is pleading for a bail out.  The State of Washington will balance its’ budget, but not without some serious cutting.

 

It is no surprise that Snohomish County government faces a crisis.  The County Executive submitted a budget with a lot of grief.  Shortfalls in revenue mean reductions in services and staff.  If you are one of those casualties of a reduction of staff, you have a lot of grief.

 

In addition to a shrinking of the economy, County government suffers from a shrinking tax base every time an annexation is approved by the Boundary Review Board and a City council.  Counties have mandates from the state to move urban growth into cities.  It makes sense for the cities to be the urban service providers.  The mandates don’t include corresponding methods to fund county-wide services after sales tax revenues have migrated to the cities.

 

I am most familiar with Snohomish County, but the problem is probably the same in most counties.

 

I have been critical of Snohomish County for aggressively promoting urban development in unincorporated areas.  I believe that the Growth Management Act told counties to get out of the urban development business.  I still believe that the reason we have a Growth Management Act is because of “out of control” county governments, but I have already beaten that horse in previous blog entries.

 

The budget crisis we face in our county comes in part from the fact that as the urban areas annex into cities, the sales tax revenue goes with it.  Whether I like it or not, County government counts on that sales tax revenue to fund government services.  If that revenue goes away, there are problems.

 

As residents and taxpayers in the county, we all need county-wide services like the Criminal Justice system which includes the Sheriff, the Jail, the Prosecutor and the Courts along with the Assessor, the Auditor, the Treasurer and the Clerk.  We still need Public works and transportation departments in rural areas.  And even though it is a separate entity, the Health District provides a vital county-wide service.  I would include the Planning Department, but I could make an argument against the need for those turkeys.

 

Regardless of your political persuasion, County-wide services need to be funded.  The issue about how the pool of money is divided amongst the departments is the small stuff.  That is the politics of government at every level.  How large that pool of money should be is the big question.  Since the Assessor’s office jacked up our property values in an expanding real estate market to fund huge revenue growth during the past couple years, I hate to see what he will do when market forces tell him our property is not worth those big numbers anymore and at the same time revenue demands remain high.

 

A downturn in the economy is a good time to develop a budget strategy.  If it is developed correctly, it will serve government in prosperous times as well. 

 

All the years I was Mayor in Snohomish, Kelly Robinson was my City Manager.  He told me he could prepare a budget regardless of the revenue, but that less revenue meant fewer services.  He was keyed into the size of government.  Since government services are predominantly personnel costs, he tied the growth in personnel to conservative revenue estimates to prevent big swings in hiring and subsequent layoffs.  He was constantly aware of long term revenue commitments from expanding staffing.  For many years, he was able to provide revenue for discretionary budget commitments because he was not totally committed to an inflated employee base.  As economic cycles change, extra revenue in good times goes to fund projects and not staff.

 

The foundation of my own philosophy of government management is built on the lessons I learned working with Kelly Robinson.  I think our county could put some of those lessons to use today.  Where is Kelly when we need him?

 

In order to balance the budget in our county, we need to look for ways to reduce spending in places where everyone won’t suffer.

 

I have a couple ideas that would change how our government is run.

 

The first change.  To the degree allowable by the County Charter, I would move control or oversight of the Long Range Planning Department to the Legislative Branch.  Anything that has to do with developing the Comprehensive Plan and Land Use regulation would fall into a Council managed area.  The Planning Department Director, an appointee of the Executive has too much control.  The “policy development” elected officials need to have more control over what the Planning Department does.  This would keep the council members engaged with what is happening in their districts.

 

The permitting and execution of the plan and regulations would stay with the executive department.

 

The second change.  I would suggest that urban growth areas outside city boundaries should be served by city police departments rather than the county sheriff.  I would support annexations that move that process along.  All the deputies that are currently based within an urban growth area would be reassigned to areas outside urban growth areas.  The size of the sheriff’s office could be reduced considerably.  If we maintain the ratio of officers to thousands of population but applied in areas away from cities, the number of officers needed would be smaller.  Providing police services in a rural environment only could clarify the mission for deputies and the public.

 

How many of us expect urban police services from the Sheriff today?  Everyone should have an understanding about different expected levels of service from a sheriff’s deputy compared to a city police officer.  The mission of the Sheriff’s deputy is not the same as an urban police officer.

 

The other services provided by the Sheriff’s office that are not patrol related would be evaluated and future service levels would be determined based upon new assessments of need.  Special services provided by the Sheriff’s office might be paid with “fee for service” charges to the jurisdiction that requires the service.

 

Cities would have to step up to their responsibilities in providing police services in Urban Growth Areas just as the county has had to assume higher costs for jail, prosecution and court services for the whole county.

 

It could be that the whole issue of Criminal Justice funding should be viewed as a county wide cost and a method of funding the system be based upon population so that as the population percentage in the unincorporated moves into the incorporated, funding shifts from the county to the cities.  At the same time, the cities need a seat at the table when developing Criminal Justice policies and budget development. 

 

Snohomish County Tomorrow could become a relevant organization again if it is required that the county and the cities work together to address growth and criminal justice issues rather than giving the county all the power by itself. 

 

It is clear that our county leaders don’t have a corner on smarts.

 

Can the extra services provided by the Sheriff’s office be tied to a levy?  Can the voters decide to tax themselves for higher levels of service not provided by existing tax revenues?  Can there be dedicated revenue sources for Criminal Justice?  For other government services?

 

Can we restrict the size of government to some economic factor?  Prohibit growth in government spending by law?

 

Even though I don’t particularly care for Aaron Reardon’s style and approach to government, I cannot fault him for filling in the void of leadership left by the County Council.  I think that if council members had their own agendas and campaigned for them like Reardon does during the whole term, the taxpayers in our county would be better served.

 

Solving our county’s budget problems is not a task for the faint of heart.  Our elected officials need to have courage to battle for things rather than against.  We need council members that can stand toe to toe with Reardon and give as good as they get.

October 7, 2008

Get to work or get out of the way!

by Steve Dana

The President and the leadership in the Congress delivered a bill to the House of Representatives from the Senate with the plea for urgent action to supposedly stabilize the credit market.  Absolutely none of the House members liked the bill, but a majority voted for it and some voted against it from both political parties.  Public sentiment was to vote it down, yet some voted in favor in spite of the public input.  It remains to be seen whether the President’s plan will work, time will tell.

 

The reasons for passing this “rescue” plan are still not clear.  I have listened to a few supposedly knowledgeable media people with different suggestions and there are some patterns and themes that point to possible fixes to prevent another catastrophe like this one.  I am not hearing those suggestions coming from Harry Reid or Nancy Pelosi.  I would hope that the Congressional leadership would be focusing on specific changes they think will prevent subsequent damage.

 

My real question here is for all those elected officials out there who know there are mine fields in their respective jurisdictions that have the potential for raising havoc and yet they sit on their hands and do nothing.  When are you going to get off your butt and do your job?  Members of Congress knew about the problems developing for several years and still failed to act.  Even though this disaster is far from over, we need to appeal to our elected officials at all levels of government to step forward with concerns or ideas to address other sleeping catastrophes.

 

How many times have you heard an elected official say “I had no idea that the problem was so bad!” after a problem surfaced?  Or, how many times did they say “I warned them about this problem X months ago and they failed to act!”?  Junior members of the Congress don’t have much power, but they can stand up to raise the alarm.  It could be their challenge is to convince the media to run with the issue to give it the hearing it deserves. 

 

Doesn’t it make you wonder about what elected officials actually do in their jobs?

 

We elect them to office to be executives or legislators with the idea that they will be knowledgeable enough about the law to protect us from this kind of fall-out.  The failure of so many elected officials to recognize the potential for not just this current disaster but others in the past suggests that elected officials are not doing their jobs.  I expect more from my leaders.

 

Even if a Congressman is in the minority, he/she can be persistent in raising the alarm even if leadership chooses to do nothing.  A failure to act is what this is all about.

 

If you are a rookie on the football team, it might be appropriate to defer to the veterans.  They have demonstrated mastery of their sport through their performance on the field. 

 

If you are an elected official, you need to make a case for your membership on the “team” by demonstrating your mastery of the “sport” so your constituents can be confident you represent them.  Too many are elected and you never hear a word from them except at election time.  The observation I make is that they are more often than not beholding to a political party and not to the voters.  The party is their master, and us voters are just dupes in the process.

 

In light of the fact that our federal government came together in a bi-partisan manner to address the current problem after the fact, I would challenge elected officials at all levels of government to get past the partisanship that paralyzes government so often today to be proactive in identifying other problems that will be similarly damaging in other arenas.

 

The fixes for Social Security and Health care will require ideas and cooperation from both parties.  Does the problem have to turn into a disaster before our “leaders” get to work?  I want to see some leadership before the fact.

 

The spotlight is focused on the federal government right now, but there are persistent problems in our state, counties and cities that require action from elected officials.  Isn’t it about time that we remind all of them that our future support is contingent upon their past performance and that for candidates that have never served our support is based upon specific ideas they have to make government better.

 

I am tired of political parties feeding me “political ‘yes’ men” who are either incompetent or blatantly deceptive.  If we all sit back and accept this low level of service from our government, we might just deserve what we get.

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July 23, 2008

Balancing High Energy Cost with What?

by Steve Dana

I was listening to Dave Ross on KIRO recently and he was talking about the fact that left wingers oppose drilling for oil in American coastal regions for a variety of reasons, but one they cling to is the assertion that there is not a meaningful quantity of oil to be found if drilling is allowed.

 

In spite of the fact that Dave Ross and I are often on opposite sides of the political debate, I was pleased that he aggressively supported measures to exploit American resources first to nullify the argument that we face high energy costs because we are not allowed to search for and consume fossil resources in our own country.  Both sides of the energy debate maintain that we are held hostage by the oil producing countries.  It makes sense that we know how large our oil reserves are whether we drill for them or not.  Then if we decide to pump our own reserves or consume someone else’s we will at least know if we have a fall-back position.  Whether there is a price difference remains to be seen.

 

Common sense dictates that nobody intentionally develops products that are not cost competitive; who would buy them?  If the price of oil is $60 or $80 per barrel it is still too cheap to make us look elsewhere very seriously.  If the cost of alternative energy sources were translated into cost per barrel of oil, the most familiar ones would probably be priced at around $160 to $170 per barrel.  That means that even paying $140 per barrel, energy is still cheaper with oil than domestic alternatives.

 

If you are a proponent of alternative energy, the next step in the logic says that if you can’t reduce the cost of alternative energy to be more competitive, you figure out how to increase the cost of the existing product.  That way the comparison between “foreign” oil and trendy alternatives shows a lesser differential.

 

If you are a proponent of alternative energy and you don’t control the resources from an ownership standpoint, you work to limit access to them from a regulatory standpoint.  If you limit the market supply, you increase the value of the product in the “pipeline”.  No pun intended.

 

I think it would be clear to anyone that if you were a manufacturing company, you would want to be selling product at a price where you could make a killing and I think the international and domestic oil companies are doing just that.  Who could blame a company for successfully doing what it is in business to do?  Does it really matter to you whether the company screwing you is American or foreign?  Do you feel somehow better knowing that it is OPEC that is transferring the resources from our country to theirs?  Or would you feel better if you knew the price would be the same, but the money was going to American companies. 

 

I believe that the reality is that domestic oil will not affect the price at the pump, but it will perhaps change who gets to collect the profits.  Isn’t it easier hating a foreign country than an oil company you think of as American?

 

There seems to be a feeling that because we have developed a dependence on any and every oil supply available that the product should be affordable.  Free market systems do not have any obligation to offer product anyone can afford.  Check with Canadian or European consumers about the price of gas at the pump over the past fifty years.  Ask them how affordable fuel is in their countries.

 

Our government manipulates market forces in many ways that do not benefit consumers.  In most cases, the manipulation comes in the form of preferred treatment for some entity.  Think about how your food bill went up when the government shifted the preferred treatment to companies who would “relieve our dependency on foreign oil supplies.” 

 

If you combine the cost of your fuel and food and compare this year to last, you can see the serious effect of market manipulation.  Biofuels will not represent even a hiccup on the fuel supply but the shift from feeding to fuel production will affect nearly everything you eat.  Imagine what a loaf of bread would cost today if the government had not created an artificial market for grains.

 

Remember what I said about the price of alternative forms of energy and how you have to raise the price of oil to make the alternative look attractive.  Biofuels don’t even look good if you just consider their part in the fuel supply.  If you factor in the additional negatives on the food supply we are facing a disaster.  Looking at all the impacts in total, manipulating the cost of the food supply to ease the energy problem will prove to be a significant error in judgment by our government.

 

World economies force us to play in arenas outside our comfort zone.  Big business learned many years ago that consumers have a hunger for low priced goods.  Consumers say they want “good quality” but are rarely willing to pay for it.  What they really want is “cheap priced products that are of minimally acceptable quality.”  Americans are so greedy for stuff that they sabotage their own country for lower priced goods.  That will prove to be a strategic error in judgment at some point. 

 

WTO and NAFTA have changed the way business works.  There aren’t American companies like they used to be.  Ownership is international and there is no patriotic mandate in their corporate goals.  Shareholders are looking for profit; consumers are looking for low prices.  Formerly American companies learned how to adapt by dumping American workers in favor of cheap Asian workers.  The name on the product remained the same, but the strength of our economy shrank because our jobs and money left the country.  If you believe that the company is American, think again.  Time and again, American factories closed and American jobs were traded for cheaper consumer goods.  Is that healthy?

 

Our government has been the back pocket of business since our country was formed.  Nobody should be shocked to learn that today.  What we can learn is how to put the interests of our country ahead of the interests of business.  If we look at international trade and test whether it is in the best interest of our country to have cheap imports that fuel the economy of foreign countries or do we exchange the cheap imports for agreements that allow American companies to export goods to foreign countries.  I guess we have to look at the value of the product exported to know whether the deals we make with the devil justify the price we pay.

 

For me, I am a proponent of America’s ability to be self sufficient and not dependent on foreign anything.  I am a proponent of American workers and I know that we can’t have it both ways.  In our state, we are one of the most dependent upon international trade so taking this position may not be particularly popular with some.  Having access to international markets is important to our state, but it may not be best for our country.

 

I would prefer that our products be desired by foreign countries and the products stand on the competitiveness of our efficiencies.  If we sacrifice our national interests to advance local interests, we take the risks of having neither.

 

If you know someone who lost a job because the company he worked for moved that job to a foreign country you know the impacts that creates.  Are the jobs that are going away family wage earning jobs?  Then think about the companies that benefit from liberal trade policies that allow us to export products instead of jobs.  Are those saved jobs family wage earning jobs? 

 

Our country is becoming increasingly more service oriented and less product oriented.  We are finding that the public sector is growing as the private sector is withering.  Public sector jobs produce nothing to fuel the economy.  Private sector jobs create employment, products and services that pay for everything.

 

Where does all of this leave us?  We need to explore our country for resources that allow us to choose whether we buy foreign goods rather than have no choice.  We need to exploit technologies that enable us to reduce our dependence on fossil fuels.  Whether it is a global warming issue or not; reducing pollution is a good idea.  We need to reduce the regulatory permitting process to facilitate construction of state of the art refineries and technologies that produce cleaner energy like nuclear power.  There are responsible processes that acknowledge that the plants need to be built in ways that protect the interests of the majority of the public.

 

The interests of the majority are not necessarily the interests of either big business or environmental extremists.  Common sense has to play a part in the discussion.

 

And that brings us back to Dave Ross who brings common sense to the masses one listener at a time.

 

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